{"id":166,"date":"2026-04-19T19:20:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T02:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/choice.work\/?p=166"},"modified":"2026-04-19T19:20:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T02:20:54","slug":"choice-log-no-1776650863-confirmation-bias","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/choice.work\/?p=166","title":{"rendered":"Choice log no. 1776650863 &#8211; Confirmation bias"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When one seeks out preferred information to confirm in agreement to one\u2019s belief.<\/p>\n<p><strong>AI<\/strong>: Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information that confirms one\u2019s preexisting beliefs or hypotheses while disregarding contradictory evidence. It is a cognitive shortcut that causes people to perceive reality selectively, reinforcing existing opinions, stereotypes, and self-deception.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Aspects of Confirmation Bias<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Biased Search: Actively seeking out information that supports a current viewpoint, such as focusing on news sources that align with a specific political ideology.<\/li>\n<li>Biased Interpretation: Twisting or interpreting ambiguous evidence to support a preconceived opinion.<\/li>\n<li>Biased Memory: Selectively recalling memories that reinforce a current belief while forgetting contradicting instances.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Common Examples<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Relationships<\/strong>: If you believe your partner is distant, you will notice every time they fail to text back, while ignoring times they are affectionate.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Medicine<\/strong>: A doctor may fixate on symptoms that support an early diagnosis, overlooking warning signs of a different, accurate condition.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Social Media<\/strong>: People often interact only with posts that match their opinions, creating \u201cecho chambers\u201d where their views are constantly validated, leading to the spread of misinformation.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Why It Happens<\/strong><br>\nConfirmation bias acts as a \u201crule of thumb\u201d (heuristic) that helps the brain process information quickly, but it leads to poor decision-making and overconfidence. It is, as Francis Bacon described it in 1620, a \u201cpernicious predetermination\u201d that causes people to hold onto beliefs even in the face of evidence to the contrary.<\/p>\n<p><strong>How to Reduce It<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Actively seek disconfirmation: Look for information that disproves your current beliefs rather than just confirming them.<\/li>\n<li> Consider alternatives: Consciously ask, \u201cWhat if I am wrong?\u201d<\/li>\n<li>Use Devil\u2019s Advocate: Challenge your own conclusions to avoid \u201cblack swan\u201d events or costly, flawed decisions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<nav class='o2-post-footer-actions'><ul class='o2-post-footer-action-row'><li class='o2-post-footer-action'><a href=\"https:\/\/choice.work\/?p=166#respond\" title=\"Reply\"  class=\"o2-post-reply o2-reply genericon  genericon-reply\"  data-action=\"reply\"  data-actionstate=\"default\" >Reply<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class='o2-post-footer-action-likes'><\/div><ul class='o2-post-footer-action-row'><\/ul><\/nav>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When one seeks out preferred information to confirm in agreement to one\u2019s belief. AI: Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information that confirms one\u2019s preexisting beliefs or hypotheses while disregarding contradictory evidence. It is a cognitive shortcut that causes people to perceive reality selectively, reinforcing existing opinions, stereotypes, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-choice","author-choice"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=166"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":167,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/166\/revisions\/167"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/choice.work\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}